Nottingham Forest v Liverpool: Key first goal angle opens up 50/1 opportunity
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Nottingham Forest v Liverpool: Key first goal angle opens up 50/1 opportunity

Nottingham Forest look to continue their six-game winning run at home to leaders Liverpool, and Dave Tindall has three bets for the City Ground showdown.

11/5 Cody Gakpo has been in great goalscoring form

50/1 Chris Wood bet stands out if Forest score first

7/2 Draw/Liverpool appeals with Reds better after HT

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Back Cody Gakpo to Score @ 11/5
  • 0.5pts – Back Chris Wood First Goal and Forest win 1-0 on Bet Builder @ 50/1
  • 1pt – Back Draw/Liverpool Half Time/Full Time @ 7/2

Betfair’s Football Superboost!

Cody Gakpo (v Nottingham Forest) is the main man for our Tuesday Superboost with the 8:00pm kickoff one of the feature games of the mid-week action seeing a top-of-the-table clash.

  • Gakpo averages 1.09 shots on target per 90 mins this season and has had at least 1 SOT in 7 out of 11 fixtures this season.
  • Only Mohammed Salah (21) has scored more goals for Liverpool than Gakpo (12) this season for the Reds.

We just need him to have a single shot on target for the Superboost to land, and the selection has been boosted from 1/2 to 1/1.

Forest: The Premier League’s Form Team

Football table form guides tend to span six matches, so if we look at any typical example of the genre, Nottingham Forest sit top. Their Last 6 figures: WWWWWW.

It’s incredible for a side who finished just one place above relegated Luton last season, and that burst of form, which built on an already impressive start, has seen Forest vault up to third place with the same number of points (40) as Arsenal.

Averaging two points per game is Champions League form, so can Forest make it into Europe’s elite competition? The market still has them as sixth favourites for a Top 4 finish, but 3.7 on the exchange shows it’s realistic.

And if they beat leaders Liverpool on Tuesday night, is the title in sight? Dare to dream and all that. Forest are 40.0 to pull off a Leicester-like fairytale for those who think their style of letting the opposition have the ball and hitting on the break is sustainable over a full season.

Reds Still Hot Favourites for Title Despite Wobbles

Liverpool haven’t quite had it all their own way in the last month. Despite hammerings of Tottenham and West Ham in the league, they’ve drawn against Newcastle, Fulham, and Manchester United and lost to Spurs in the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final.

But after a blistering start to the campaign, Arne Slot’s men are still in prime position. Six points clear at the top of the table and with a game in hand over their nearest rivals, Liverpool are just 1.34 for the title.

Their tally of 46 points has been split equally home and away, and they’ve played one fewer game on the road, winning seven and drawing two. They’re also the top scorers on their travels, having plundered 27 goals — seven more than at Anfield.

Slot was able to rest key players and give minutes to squad players in the 4-0 FA Cup win over Accrington Stanley on Saturday, which would have helped, although Forest did the same, making a full 11 changes but still beating Luton 2-0.

Build Ups is Here!

Have you tried Build Ups on Betfair yet? This new form of betting gives you multiple different ways of betting on player outcomes.

  • Link Ups: Pair up players in a fixture to either combine on an outcome.
  • Match Ups: Compete players head-to-head.
  • Double Ups: Combine outcomes for a solo player with options for goals, shots on target, shots, and cards.

Slot Seeking Revenge

Liverpool’s sensational start to the season was notable for just a single blip — a 1-0 home defeat by Forest at Anfield in September. It’s a game which Slot has brought up numerous times in press conferences, the match clearly getting in his head and staying there.

Perhaps defeat to Tottenham last week will have removed some of the mystique around it, but Slot will clearly be very, very determined to right the wrong of that Forest defeat, settled by a 72nd-minute winner from Callum Hudson-Odoi.

In the Match Odds market, Liverpool are 7/10 to take revenge, with Nottingham Forest 15/4 and The Draw 3/1.

On first glance, Forest look value. They’re on an amazing run, and Liverpool have been shipping goals on the road. It may just take one again, and Forest to win 1-0 is 14/1.

First Goal the Key

The way Forest play, scoring the first goal is sure to be key. If they get it, they can just sit back in their shape and challenge Liverpool to break down their low block — something most teams have struggled to do.

But if Liverpool grab it, things get tough for Forest. When they’ve fallen behind in those games against Newcastle (at 2-1), Arsenal, and Man City, the gap has widened.

So if the Reds go in front and Forest chase, Liverpool can reverse roles.

Bets to Consider:

  • Cody Gakpo to score anytime at 11/5.
  • Chris Wood to score in a 1-0 Forest win @ 50/1.

Cagey Start Looks Likely but Reds Fancied

Whichever way it goes, a cautious opening looks likely.

Liverpool haven’t been the best starters this season despite their superb record. That pattern continues to be the norm, and Liverpool have been level at the break in three of their last four matches. Two of those were 0-0, the half-time scoreline against Forest at Anfield earlier this season.But I do think Liverpool will get it done, so the 7/2 for Draw/Liverpool in the Half Time/Full Time market makes appeal. Mo Salah’s stats justify that bet on their own as he’s scored 16 of his 18 Premier League goals this season in the second half.

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